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Turning Texas: A Quality Trend Line
Firstly, I have a website now! How cool is that? I am not thrilled about how Substack has been handling Nazis on their site so with my dad’s help I got this set up! I’m a bit disappointed that I’m losing all the comments people have made, but it is worth the switch. Hopefully y’all…
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Nikki Haley’s Moment
In December The New York Time’s The Daily released a podcast about Nikki Haley and her recent success in early primary state polls. They noted her rise of over DeSantis, and her seeming position as the most viable Trump alternative. I appreciated their analysis on her status as a factional candidate that really only currently appeals…
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Turning Texas: Look at the Electorate
Recently, my allergist decided to use the first half of my appointment to ask about when, if ever, Democrats will flip Texas. I have been asked at grocery stores, board game clubs, and my youngest cousin’s bat mitzvah. I am making a little series of my favorite graphs from work to answer the question from…
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Uncertainty in political predictions and why I think people don’t have enough of it
My job naturally leads to me engaging with plenty of different people about what they think the future holds. The other day when I went to the doctor he asked me to prognosticate about the future of Democrats in Texas. I generally dodge these questions because I mostly want to talk about my allergy medication…
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The Scarymander Series: Part 2
Currently, gerrymandered districts are known for their ugly, weird appearances such as many of the ones I showed in my last blog post (which I recommend you read before this one). However, gerrymandered districts don’t have to look this way. A youtuber named AlphaPhoenix released a video two years ago demonstrating that you can gerrymander North Carolina…
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The Scarymander Series: Part 1
Halloween is sixth months away as of yesterday, so I think it is a perfect time to share a truly scary vision of how gerrymandered districts might look when we reach the 2032 cycle. This will be approximately 3 parts and go over what gerrymandering is like today, and will be like in the future.…
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Call (Time) Me Maybe
How data analysis can take political programs to the next level Recently, I gave a presentation on one of my favorite projects from my last campaign. I’m quite proud of the work I did on this project so I wanted to share it here as well. I’ll add little explanations beneath each slide Call Time…
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The progress we’ve made
I’ve been working really hard on my campaign this Summer and accordingly have had a lot less time for blogging than I hoped. I have several drafts I haven’t had any time to polish but such is life. At the very least I have been doing really good work. For instance, check out what I…
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Rewriting Rome: Who Owns Classics?
The tragic shooting in Buffalo, NY was committed by a man fighting “the great replacement”, a conspiracy theory that has been floating around right wing spaces for the last decade. This conspiracy theory is a modern reskin of “white genocide” conspiracy theories in which a cabal of Jews in some way or another is responsible…
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Data convenience matters
Last quarter, I wrote a research paper on the political establishment. The political establishment is a murky concept and there is a lot to think about. However, surprisingly, the most difficult decisions during the project were on how to consider what data I should use to measure my variables. The problem put simply, is that…
