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Where do bootlickers see this going?
Over the last few months we have seen many essential American institutions bend the knee to Trump. Columbia among other schools have caved to ridiculous demands, major law firms, including the largest in the world by revenue, have made it clear they’ll do Trump’s bidding and businesses aren’t using their leverage to do anything except…
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A false majority
A lot of people have been thinking pretty hard about how we got here for a few months now and there isn’t any clear one reason. There are myriad factors that I have seen plenty of people point to. Some blame strategic mistakes, others global economic conditions, and many point backlash to Obama. I think…
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The world isn’t ending — that’s the problem
One of the interesting parts of my job is I get an inside look on the activist class of the Democratic party. I’m in chats and slacks with a lot of the people who do the work of making the Democratic party function. Often times this is interesting, but since Tuesday night it has been…
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Veep and Cynicism
Like many Americans I decided to watch Veep over the last month! As far as political shows go I certainly think its one of the closest to the truth. However, I don’t think it’s right about everything. Specifically, it portrays nearly every politician as an awful, self interested jerk with no interest in anything other…
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State of the race: June 2024
As of now the polling is quite rough for Biden. He is losing in most swing states, and has a poor approval rating. Election modelers vary in how much they think Trump leads with the most optimistic, 538, placing the race as a tossup. What’s worse is I think the 538 model is rosier than…
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Turning Texas: A Quality Trend Line
Firstly, I have a website now! How cool is that? I am not thrilled about how Substack has been handling Nazis on their site so with my dad’s help I got this set up! I’m a bit disappointed that I’m losing all the comments people have made, but it is worth the switch. Hopefully y’all…
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Nikki Haley’s Moment
In December The New York Time’s The Daily released a podcast about Nikki Haley and her recent success in early primary state polls. They noted her rise of over DeSantis, and her seeming position as the most viable Trump alternative. I appreciated their analysis on her status as a factional candidate that really only currently appeals…
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Turning Texas: Look at the Electorate
Recently, my allergist decided to use the first half of my appointment to ask about when, if ever, Democrats will flip Texas. I have been asked at grocery stores, board game clubs, and my youngest cousin’s bat mitzvah. I am making a little series of my favorite graphs from work to answer the question from…
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Uncertainty in political predictions and why I think people don’t have enough of it
My job naturally leads to me engaging with plenty of different people about what they think the future holds. The other day when I went to the doctor he asked me to prognosticate about the future of Democrats in Texas. I generally dodge these questions because I mostly want to talk about my allergy medication…
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The Scarymander Series: Part 2
Currently, gerrymandered districts are known for their ugly, weird appearances such as many of the ones I showed in my last blog post (which I recommend you read before this one). However, gerrymandered districts don’t have to look this way. A youtuber named AlphaPhoenix released a video two years ago demonstrating that you can gerrymander North Carolina…